Investing in Li Auto? A Historical Perspective

The Rapid Rise of Chinese Electric Vehicle Maker Li Auto 

Li Auto Inc. is a Chinese electric vehicle startup that has achieved remarkable growth in just a few years. Founded in 2015 during a surge in China’s electric vehicle industry, Li Auto has quickly become one of the top-selling EV brands in the world’s largest auto market. One of the key factors that contributed to the success of Li Auto is its strategic focus on range and safety. Li Auto’s flagship electric SUV, the Li ONE, features a range of up to 800 km on a single charge, which is significantly higher than many of its competitors in the market. In addition to the range, Li Auto places a strong emphasis on safety, with features such as advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and a reinforced body structure to protect passengers. Another factor that has contributed to the success of Li Auto is its effective branding. The company’s brand positioning is centered on the concept of “range anxiety,” which refers to the fear of running out of battery charge while driving. Li Auto’s solution to this problem is its extended-range electric vehicle (EREV) technology, which combines a gasoline engine with an electric motor to provide an extended range of up to 800 km. This technology has resonated well with Chinese consumers, who are looking for practical solutions to address the challenges of EV ownership.

Founding and Early Years

Li Auto was established in 2015 by Li Xiang, a Chinese entrepreneur who had previously founded one of China’s largest automobile websites. Having observed Tesla’s success, Li saw an opportunity to offer high-quality and affordable electric vehicles to the rapidly growing Chinese market. 

Li Auto was one of many electric vehicle (EV) startups launched in China in the mid-2010s. The Chinese government’s support for EV development through subsidies and favorable policies led to an explosion of investment and interest in the sector, which aimed to combat air pollution from vehicles in major cities.

Li Auto aimed to differentiate itself from the competition via smart branding and shrewd social media marketing. Despite being a Chinese company, it chose the English name “Li Auto” to give it a more global appeal. Early marketing campaigns showcased Li Auto cars as sleek, safe, and cutting-edge in terms of technology.

The Li ONE, an electric SUV, was Li Auto’s first vehicle, with deliveries commencing in late 2019. Compared to other Chinese EVs, the Li ONE boasted long-range capabilities and high safety ratings. Priced at around $40,000, it competed against mid-range electric SUVs, including Tesla’s Model Y.

Sudden Climb

Li Auto’s Li ONE vehicle has been a tremendous success since its release, surpassing the company’s expectations. In 2020, Li Auto delivered over 17,000 vehicles in its first full year of production. This number skyrocketed to nearly 100,000 in 2021 as excitement around the Li ONE spread. By mid-2022, Li Auto had delivered over 200,000 vehicles, an impressive growth rate for an automotive startup. 

Several factors contributed to Li Auto’s success. The Li ONE boasts a range of over 500 kilometers per charge, which is much higher than most competitors and appeals to Chinese consumers concerned about EV range. Additionally, standard safety features such as adaptive cruise control and automated emergency braking set Li Auto apart in the market. 

Moreover, Li Auto’s clever viral marketing campaigns on social media generated a lot of buzz, particularly among younger car buyers. Li Auto has positioned itself as a “cool” lifestyle brand, similar to Apple, which has made it an attractive alternative to traditional state-owned automakers in China.

Overseas Expansion 

In 2021, Li Auto became flush with cash from the success of its popular Li ONE model and started exploring options to expand beyond China. It filed for an IPO on the NASDAQ stock exchange, raising $1.1 billion, which provided funds to expand its lineup of vehicles and establish beachheads in overseas markets.

The following year, Li Auto launched its first flagship sedan, the Li L9, which targets a more upscale demographic and has a starting price of around $60,000. Additionally, Li Auto began accepting pre-orders for the Li ONE in Europe, which indicates a possible expansion into the European market.

In 2022, Li Auto also introduced two new hybrid SUV models, one designed for families with three rows of seating, and the other targeting youth and adventure seekers. These models are expected to expand Li Auto’s customer base significantly in the coming years.

Li Auto’s success can be attributed to its focus on technology, branding, and generational appeal, which has helped it compete against established EV players like Tesla and traditional automakers. Its rapid growth shows no signs of slowing down.

Challenges Ahead  

Li Auto is currently facing various challenges on its path to success. The company is yet to achieve profitability, as it is investing heavily in research and development, as well as expanding its production capability. Moreover, Li Auto is now competing with global automakers who are also launching their lines of electric vehicles tailored for China and other markets. Additionally, there is a concern that the Chinese government’s subsidy program for electric vehicles may come to an end, which could put Li Auto in a difficult position to sustain without government assistance.  

However, Li Auto’s performance has exceeded nearly all expectations thus far. The company ended 2022 with over $15 billion in cash reserves and no debt, giving it ample resources to grow. With its lineup expanding and potential overseas demand untapped, Li Auto is positioned to consolidate as a leader in the 21st-century auto industry. For a startup launched just seven years ago, the future of Li Auto burns brightly.

Latest Li Auto News (as of December 28, 2023):

Li Auto, a leading player in China’s electric vehicle market, achieved record monthly deliveries in December 2023. They delivered 41,030 vehicles, which is a 13.7% increase from the previous month and surpasses their prior record of 36,060 in October. This milestone further solidifies their position in the market.

In November, Li Auto unveiled its latest offering, the Li MEGA, a high-tech flagship family MPV. This spacious and luxurious vehicle is designed for families with multiple children and aims to compete with established players like Toyota and Buick. 

Li Auto reported total revenues of RMB34.68 billion (US$4.75 billion) and delivered 105,108 vehicles in their Q3 2023 earnings report. Despite ongoing challenges in the global automotive industry, this represents significant growth compared to the previous quarter, highlighting their strong financial performance.

Looking to the future, Li Auto intends to nearly triple its electric model lineup to 11 by 2025. They are also focusing on expanding their retail network and improving their after-sales service to solidify customer loyalty. However, potential headwinds like economic slowdown and increased competition may pose challenges to their continued growth.

Li Auto is a pioneer in commercializing extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs) in China. Their vehicles combine a battery with a gasoline engine acting as a generator, which addresses range anxiety for drivers. Their current model lineup includes the Li L9, L8, and L7 SUVs, along with the new Li MEGA MPV. These premium offerings for families are known for their advanced technology and user-friendly features.

Li Auto is listed on both the Nasdaq and Hong Kong Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “LI”. Although their stock price has experienced significant fluctuations in 2023, it has shown signs of recovery in recent months.

Market Cap (intraday)35.14B
Enterprise Value24.51B
Trailing P/E153.78
Forward P/E32.89
PEG Ratio (5 yr expected)N/A
Price/Sales (ttm)3.48
Price/Book (mrq)4.77
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.33
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.99

Trading Information

Stock Price History

Beta (5Y Monthly)0.93
52-Week Change 383.32%
S&P500 52-Week Change 324.22%
52 Week High 347.33
52 Week Low 318.95
50-Day Moving Average 336.37
200-Day Moving Average 333.77

Share Statistics

Avg Vol (3 month) 35.43M
Avg Vol (10 day) 36.68M
Shares Outstanding 51B
Implied Shares Outstanding 61.01B
Float 81.03B
% Held by Insiders 10.03%
% Held by Institutions 112.62%
Shares Short (Nov 29, 2023) 431.58M
Short Ratio (Nov 29, 2023) 45.8
Short % of Float (Nov 29, 2023) 4N/A
Short % of Shares Outstanding (Nov 29, 2023) 43.34%
Shares Short (prior month Oct 30, 2023) 430.34M

Dividends & Splits

Forward Annual Dividend Rate 4N/A
Forward Annual Dividend Yield 4N/A
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 30.00
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 30.00%
5 Year Average Dividend Yield 4N/A
Payout Ratio 40.00%
Dividend Date 3N/A
Ex-Dividend Date 4N/A
Last Split Factor 2N/A
Last Split Date 3N/A

Financial Highlights

Currency in CNY.

Fiscal Year

Fiscal Year EndsDec 30, 2022
Most Recent Quarter (mrq)Sep 29, 2023

Profitability

Profit Margin6.32%
Operating Margin (ttm)6.75%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (ttm)2.66%
Return on Equity (ttm)12.89%

Income Statement

Revenue (ttm)99.77B
Revenue Per Share (ttm)101.73
Quarterly Revenue Growth (yoy)271.20%
Gross Profit (ttm)8.79B
EBITDA5.92B
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm)6.3B
Diluted EPS (ttm)0.23
Quarterly Earnings Growth (yoy)N/A

Balance Sheet

Total Cash (mrq)87.42B
Total Cash Per Share (mrq)44.34
Total Debt (mrq)11.46B
Total Debt/Equity (mrq)21.24%
Current Ratio (mrq)1.69
Book Value Per Share (mrq)54.38

Cash Flow Statement

Operating Cash Flow (ttm)38.32B
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm)30.5B

FAQ’s

1. Q: What is Li Auto?

  • A: Li Auto Inc. is a Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer that focuses on designing and manufacturing smart electric SUVs.

2. Q: Where is Li Auto based?

  • A: Li Auto is headquartered in Beijing, China.

3. Q: Is Li Auto a publicly traded company?

  • A: Yes, Li Auto is a publicly traded company. Its stock is listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange under the ticker symbol “LI.”

4. Q: What models does Li Auto produce?

  • A: Li Auto is known for its electric SUVs, with the Li ONE being its flagship model.

5. Q: Does Li Auto have international operations?

  • A: Li Auto primarily operates in China, but like many global companies, it may have international plans or partnerships.

6. Q: What is Li Auto’s strategy for electric vehicles?

  • A: Li Auto focuses on creating extended-range electric vehicles, combining electric power with a small onboard gasoline generator to increase range.

2 thoughts on “Investing in Li Auto? A Historical Perspective

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